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Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Evidence, Does It Go Over The Limit?

In Nature’s article, Over the Limit, an anonymous author tells the story of a European policy that turned its back on scientific evidence and the repercussions thereof. As he proceeds to support the policy and the reasons they made it, he extrapolates the idea that evidence is not the only basis a policy should be made on and comes up with the claim that “when setting policies, there are limits to the role that evidence can have.” I, respectfully, disagree with his claim and his reasons and will explain why.


    The law in question was put into place in Europe in 2011 when the Court of Justice of the European Communities decided that men could not be charged more than women for auto insurance. This goes against mounds of scientific evidence that explicitly states that men are more likely to wreck their cars then women, and is aimed at reducing sexual discrimination. While the intention of the law is good, admirable in fact, the fact that they ignored such conclusive scientific evidence is causing much controversy. The author stands up for this law and attempts to explain his reasoning behind it, and behind his support of it.


In the article, he says that although evidence is a strong factor in policy-making, it should not be the only one, and that it “is important to distinguish between policies that ignore the evidence and those that consider it but do not give it the deciding vote.” He later says it is up to the scientists to present the evidence and its up to the politicians to decide when to ignore it, and while that is true, he also seems to be supporting the fact that sometimes it is not only acceptable to ignore scientific evidence, but it is also the ‘right’ thing to do, as evidenced by his comment about the “drive in Europe to reverse practices that survive as a legacy of centuries of inequality and discrimination against women is right to trump the cold logic of the statistics.” He says that there are other relevant factors that politicians must consider and that evidence shouldn’t always get the deciding factor, but all of these appeals have very specific flaws that I will point out.


When he says that it is ‘right’ for politicians to ignore scientific evidence I am trying hard to find where exactly he got his definition of right, because if by right, he means foolish, selfish, and short-sighted, then maybe my entire argument is nothing but semantics. In his own article he specifically says that “It is legitimate, if short-sighted, to acknowledge that man-made global warming is real but argue that policies to cut emissions are too expensive to pursue.” So it is legitimate (and ‘right’ if you transfer over the property he so graciously extended to the law in Europe) for a policy that is so short-sighted that it is all but ignoring an international disaster just waiting for us around the door. I don’t think so. Even in some of his lesser claims, he has nothing to back them up. He says that it is important to distinguish between policies that ignore scientific evidence and those that consider it, but don’t give it the deciding vote. I answer that claim with a question. Why? The outcome is the same, so why is there a difference? An ignorant policy still gets put in place. The outcome is the same, so what is the difference? I argue none (now I know that it makes a difference when you are trying to decide who to vote for, but we are only focusing on the validity of the policies put in place, and not the politicians behind them).


Another thing that the author fails to see is that the term ‘scientific evidence’ is a lot more encompassing then he seems to believe. He seems to want to limit it to only empirical evidence on limited subjects. What he doesn’t seem to get is that evidence can be present in all of the other ‘factors’ he claims that should supersede evidence such as “social, economic and political factors.” Evidence is not limited solely to the natural sciences, but can be present in all of the above, so turning your back on ‘evidence’ means turning your back on all things logical. This is not ‘right’ for any reason.


So if evidence is as encompassing as I believe it to be, then it only leads to one logical conclusion. Evidence is the only thing to rightfully base policy upon, and this is why I disagree with the article on hand, allow me to explain. Assuming it is wrong to ignore evidence in policy making would seem like that would be all you would need to make the claim I just made there, but the author has rightly pointed out several other factors that may influence policy making. If evidence were so limited, then it would be impossible to run a country only making policies on such a limited scale, but add in my other premise and you will see how it opens up the possibilities to a great extent. You can now make policies based on economic evidence, which was once considered an ‘other’ factor, allowing evidence to be the basis for ALL policies.


While the logic leading up to my claim is unbreakable (I hope) the premises are the ones you could argue against. This means any opposition to my claim would either argue that ignoring evidence in policy making is not wrong, or that evidence is not as encompassing as I had once thought. One may say, you don’t decide whats right or wrong, how can you claim that one policy is better than another? My answer to that would be that for length’s sake I am assuming that selfish, short-sighted policies are wrong, and to try to argue that would involve an ethics essay and entrance into an age old debate that would not simply go well in a blog such as this.


To attack the other premise, one would simply have to find a ‘relevant’ factor in policy making and show that there is no scientific evidence in that area whatsoever. Do that, and my entire post will be shut down and be irrelevant trash, but I doubt you will be able to do such a thing. The gathering of scientific evidence is done mainly for one reason only. to find out information, so you can do something better in the future. This, or to make better choices in the future. And what ‘choices’ are more in the open and have the most interest other than policies? Scientists gather information all the time to help future policy makers and I highly doubt that you can find a relevant area where there has been no research in.


All of this leads me to confidently say that evidence is the only relevant basis for policy making and that the author of “Over the Limit” was wrong in his article.

Works Cited:
"Over the Limit." Nature. 9 Mar. 2011. Web. <http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v471/n7337/full/471136a.html>.

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